Apr 11, 2025 (Bloomberg) –Shipping’s international regulator agreed new rules to slash the industry’s future greenhouse gas emissions, paving the way for the end of oil as a maritime fuel in the decades to come.
The UN’s International Maritime Organization approved draft amendments to MARPOL Annex VI — the main treaty on preventing air pollution from ships — that will force the industry to reduce and pay for at least some of its emissions. The agreement comes despite the US earlier abandoning the talks that forged the rules.
The rules still need to pass the potentially significant hurdle of adoption at the IMO, which is scheduled for October. They would then come into force in the spring of 2027 and be legally binding.
The agreement is “an important step towards the first global greenhouse gas price structure for any industry,” shipping giant A.P. Moller-Maersk A/S said in a statement. “It provides needed signals to ship owners and fuel providers on the path forward.”
The regulations aren’t a blanket charge on all emissions. Rather, they require a gradual reduction in the amount of so-called greenhouse gas ships can emit relative to the energy they use. For instance, a vessel running on oil would have a higher GHG intensity than an otherwise identical ship running on a low-carbon fuel.
Ultimately, the rules are aimed at slashing ships GHG emissions and getting to net zero by mid-century — a target set by the IMO back in 2023. That almost certainly means weaning vessels off oil, the fuel used by the vast majority of the world’s merchant fleet today.
Ships that don’t reduce their intensity of GHG emissions – including carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide — in line with two reduction trajectories outlined in the regulations are deemed to have an emissions “deficit.”
This must then be addressed by buying “remedial units.” For compliance with a so-called “base target” trajectory, the units will cost $380 per ton of CO2-equivalent emissions. For what is called a “direct compliance” target, they’ll cost $100. Both prices are only for 2028-2030, with future figures to be decided at a later date.
Deficits for complying with the base target can also be balanced by using surplus units that are either transferred from another, cleaner ship — in what is effectively a trading system — or that were previously banked.
While it’s economically and diplomatically powerful, the country’s fleet of commercial ships is relatively small. That’s important because so-called flag-states — the places where vessels are registered — are integral to implementing the IMO’s air-pollution rules.
In a surprise move the EU has unsanctioned two polar class heavy lift vessels, Audax and Pugnax. The vessels were purpose-built for the construction of Russia’s Yamal LNG project in 2016. They also carried the majority of prefabricated modules for the country’s other flagship LNG project, Arctic LNG 2.
Newly imposed U.S. and EU sanctions targeting Russia and its oil giants Rosneft and Lukoil have yet to disrupt physical crude shipments from the country’s western ports, according to LSEG data and market sources.
President Donald Trump’s latest tariff salvo against Canada landed just as Mark Carney was setting out on a mission to insulate his country from the fallout of the trade war.
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