The Wartime Secretary of the Navy
What (Acting) Secretary Hung Cao’s First Five Months Tell Us About the Job Ahead By Bruce Kimbrell (Policy Op-Ed) President Trump has nominated the Honorable Hung Cao to become the...
Global Summary of Piracy and Maritime Crime – Week of 11 August 2011 (Source: ONI)

NIGERIA:
RED SEA:
INDONESIA:
MALAYSIA:
Piracy and Weather Forecast for 18–20 AUG 2011

A. GULF OF ADEN: Western waters of the GOA continue to show light sea conditions, ranging from 1 – 3 feet. Seas increase as you continue to the east, with heights ranging from 4 – 7 feet within the eastern portion of the GOA. Expect continuous winds from the southwest of 18 – 22 knots and higher gusts through next 72 hours. These conditions may hinder piracy/small boat operations. EXTENDED FORECAST: Southwest winds 18 – 22 knots with higher gusts will continue through 25 August. Overall, expect western vs. eastern GOA disparity to continue with regards to sea heights, with maximum heights persisting in the eastern half. Based on sea heights for forecast week, the most conducive areas for piracy within the Gulf of Aden will be the western portion and some areas in the central GOA through 25 August.
B. SOMALI COAST/NORTH ARABIAN SEA: Sustained southwest winds of 25 – 30 knots with higher gusts will remain over the Somali Basin through the next 72 hours. North Arabian Sea winds range from 18 – 22 knots with higher gusts from the southwest. The highest sea heights (9 – 13 feet) cover a region from the north-central Somali coast northwest into the central Arabian Sea. Sea heights decrease somewhat (6 – 9 feet) within central and southern portions of the Somali Basin, as well as waters off Oman and Pakistan. Further decrease in sea heights continues off the coast of India (5 – 7 feet).
EXTENDED FORECAST: Southwest winds 25 – 30 knots with higher gusts will continue through 25 August in the Somali Basin. Winds in the North Arabian Sea will continue from the southwest 18 – 22 knots with higher gusts through 25 August. Severe winds and sea heights will continue to create conditions non-conducive for small boat/piracy operations through forecast period.
C. INDIAN OCEAN: Coastal waters off Kenya as well as waters south of the equator extending east into the Indian Ocean have increased sea heights and will remain moderate through 21 August, with sea heights ranging from 5 – 8 feet. Coastal waters off the Tanzania coast and south to Mozambique are currently moderate. Ranging from 4 – 6 feet, from Tanzania south to the Mozambique Channel, expect sea heights to improve in the Mozambique Channel around the Comoros Islands by 19 August as a South African storm system transits slowly away from the region.
EXTENDED FORECAST: Conditions off the Kenyan and Tanzanian coast will remain the same through 25 August. Expect slow improvement within the entire Mozambique Channel through 25 August. Waters around the Maldives and within the Mozambique Channel will prove to be most conducive for small boat/piracy operations through 25 August, with sea heights ranging from 1 – 3 feet.
D. SURFACE CURRENTS: Currents within the Somalia Basin and into the Indian Ocean are variable with most areas having average speeds of less than 2 knots. Areas of increased speeds up to 5.3 knots occur from the 2N to 11N along the Somali coast. Currents within the Gulf of Aden are variable with most areas having speeds of 1.5 knots or less. Portions of the GOA have increased current speeds up to 2.5 knots, to include the central portion of the GOA and waters off SE Yemen.
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