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NHC systems map from September 30, 2024

National Hurricane Center Monitoring Multiple Systems as Atlantic Hurricane Season Heats Up

Mike Schuler
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September 30, 2024

As the Southeastern U.S. continues to recover from Hurricane Helene’s devastating impact on both coastal and inland communities, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) is continueing to monitor multiple systems in the Atlantic basin.

Tropical Storm Isaac remains active several hundred miles north of the Azores, while two tropical depressions, Joyce and Twelve, are being tracked in the central and eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean, respectively.

Of particular interest is a large, disorganized low-pressure system in the western and southwestern Caribbean Sea. The NHC reports that environmental conditions may become favorable for gradual development, potentially leading to the formation of a tropical depression in the coming days. This system could affect the southern Gulf of Mexico or northwestern Caribbean Sea.

“While interests in the northwestern Caribbean Sea and along the U.S. Gulf Coast should continue to monitor the progress of this system, the timetable for potential development has shifted later toward late week or this weekend,” stated the NHC. The formation chance through 48 hours is low at near 0 percent, but increases to a medium 40 percent chance through 7 days.

Meanwhile, in the eastern tropical Atlantic, a tropical wave located south of the Cabo Verde Islands is showing increased shower and thunderstorm activity. The NHC predicts that “upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while it moves slowly westward over the eastern tropical Atlantic”. This system has a high 80 percent chance of formation through 7 days.

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